t’s an all-European battle to see who advances to the quarterfinals of the Football World Cup 2018 on Sunday at 2 p.m. ET. Croatia and Denmark meet for the first time in the World Cup in a win-or-go home match. Sportsbooks have Croatia listed at -120 to win (bet $120 to win $100), while Denmark is +400 (risk $100 to win $400). A draw in regulation is +225 and the Over/Under for total goals scored in this 2018 World Cup fixture is 2.
Before you lock in your 2018 World Cup picks, you need to see what European football expert David Sumpter has to say. Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote “Soccermatics,” a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Along with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.
FIFA Football World Cup 2018
The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In nearly three seasons since its inception, the Soccerbot is up an incredible 1,800 percent on bookmakers’ closing odds.
The Soccerbot has already nailed draws for Argentina-Iceland (+385) and Brazil-Switzerland (+360). It also correctly predicted Iran upsetting Morocco at +275, just to name a few of its big calls. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the Soccerbot has crunched the numbers and broken down every angle of Croatia vs. Denmark. The model has released a very strong money-line pick, which it’s sharing only over at SportsLine.
The model knows Croatia and Denmark have met five times and each team has won twice.
Croatia cruised to three victories to top Group D, which included a 3-0 thumping of Lionel Messi and Argentina. Croatia’s three-game winning streak in Russia is its longest streak of victories ever at the World Cup. The Croatians will be looking to earn win No. 4 on Sunday against Denmark.
Croatia’s offense has come to life in 2018 FIFA World Cup, scoring seven goals, but its defense has also been stellar. Croatia beat Senegal 2-1 in their World Cup group stage opener and then defeated Nigeria, 3-0. It closed out group play by beating Argentina by three. Croatia has pitched two shutouts and allowed just one goal at the World Cup 2018.
Meanwhile, Denmark finished second in Group C with one win and two draws. However, the Danes enter Sunday’s showdown against Croatia on a 16-game unbeaten streak.